Weatherdem's Weblog

Bridging climate science, citizens, and policy

Atlantic Tropical Weather Update 10/16/08

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Yesterday, we saw Omar rapidly intensify.  Late last night, he nearly strengthened to a Category 4 storm.  Overnight, vertical wind shear and dry air have weakened Omar back to a Category 1 storm.  The rapid change in conditions and their impact on storm strength will always amaze me.  Omar impacted the northern Leeward Islands last night on its way to the Atlantic.  Here is a quick look at his current conditions:

Center located at 20.2N, 61.3W; maximum sustained winds of 85mph; moving NE @ 23mph; minimum pressure of 980mb.

Hurricane Omar is forecasted to keep moving NE through the central Atlantic.  His motion should take on an increasing eastward componenet throughout the 5-day period.  He is now officially expected to weaken to Tropical Storm status tomorrow.

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