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Atlantic Tropical Weather Update 9/26/08

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[Update 11:00P MDT]:

Tropical Storm Kyle is approaching hurricane strength.  His vitals as of this evening:

Center located at 29.4N, 68.8W; maximum sustained winds of 70mph; moving N @ 15mph; minimum pressure of 994mb.  Convection is located closer to the center of circulation tonight.  Some further strengthening is forecasted over the next 12 hours, then Kyle’s intensity should level off thereafter.  His path should take him just east of Maine before impacting southeastern Canada late Sunday night or very early Monday morning as a Tropical Storm.

Outside of the Atlantic, a Category 5 storm is churning away in the western Pacific.  Super Typhoon Jangmi looks outstanding on satellite imagery as it approaches Taiwan from the southeast with sustained winds of 155mph and gusts up to 190mph.

***

[Update 11:00A MDT]:

Tropical Storm Kyle has strengthened a little since very early this morning.  Here are his updated vitals:

Center located at 26.4N, 68.8W; maximum sustained winds of 60mph; moving NWN @ 12mph; minimum pressure of 997mb.

There is no danger of this storm hitting the U.S. in the next 3 days.  Late Sunday night into Monday morning, Kyle could impact Maine as he heads north.  There is a little more uncertainty as to his position past three days by the models.

***

As we begin the day today, there are a couple of odd storms out in the Atlantic.  The first slowly moved ashore yesterday along the South Carolina/North Carolina border.  It never developed full tropical characteristics prior to “landfall”, maintaining frontal characteristics instead.  Heavy surf and strong winds were the main components of this storm as it came ashore.  This time yesterday, it looked very likely that it would acquire tropical characteristics, but that never happened.

The second system has been moving north from the far eastern Caribbean Sea.  It traveled over Hispanola 36 hours ago but exhibited an open area of low pressure.  It finally formed a closed circulation late yesterday, earning it a Tropical Storm classification.  Tropical Storm Kyle was having problems keeping his convection near his center of circulation, but it looks as though he’s better organized today.  Tropical Storm Kyle’s vitals are as follows:

Center located at 24.8N, 68.0W; maximum sustained winds of 50mph; moving N @ 13mph; minimum pressure of 994mb.

T.S. Kyle is expected to keep moving north during the next 3 days.  It could gain hurricane strength by Saturday morning.  The suite of model runs are pretty consistent, showing Kyle moving north or just east of north through Day 5.  He could make landfall somewhere along southeastern Canada, possibly Newfoundland.

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