10 Straight for Obama
Obama won both Wisconsin and Hawai’i last night. And I didn’t do so bad in predicting the outcome this time:
Hawaii is easy: Obama 70% - Clinton 30% (Actual O 75.7% - C 23.6%)
Wisconsin is harder, but I think Obama 58% - Clinton 42% (Actual O 58.1% - C 40.7%)
*****
With that, Hillary is in real trouble. Obama won amongst almost every demographic in Wisconsin. He even almost won the women’s vote (49%-51%), his best showing yet. I was watching CNN returns all night - they had a decent time series graph of demographic break-downs. He might not have performed the best in Wisconsin in every category, but his portion of each has decidedly increased since Iowa a month and a half ago.
Recent polls from Ohio and Texas showed a tightening race. With the win in Wisconsin, I expect Ohio to break towards Obama. He might even garner more delegates from Texas based on assignment rules if he loses the popular vote or by percentages. However, things have been dynamic since Super Tuesday, so I fully expect more change to show up by the time we get to the next round.
Hillary’s take no prisoner / scorched earth approaches are doing nothing to endear herself toward me. We’ve got a guy in the White House that played by those same rules and Democrats were livid because of it. Interesting how it’s alright when a person with a (D) behind there name uses the same techniques. Well, not with this Dem. Here’s to hoping Obama runs the tables.